Long-term Financial Planning: How to Stay At Least 2 Steps Ahead

Posted by Rick Yvanovich

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Anyone who plays chess knows a good player is not just thinking about their next move - they are planning several moves ahead. That is exactly what long-term financial planning is all about. It's not just about keeping the lights on today; it's about making sure your business is thriving three, five, or even ten years down the road.

But the hard truth is most businesses are struggling with planning that far ahead. In this article, we will explore ways to fix that.

Read more: What To Look For In a Planning and Budgeting Solution?

Contents

Long-term Financial Planning: How to Stay At Least 2 Steps Ahead

At a Glance: The Planning Gap  

First, here are some statistics to show why long-term financial planning matters: 

  • 82% of businesses that fail cite cash flow problems as a factor in their collapse (Jessie Hagen, U.S. Bank study) 
  • Only 47% of small businesses have a formally documented financial plan (SCORE's "Megaphone of Main Street" report) 
  • Companies that engage in formal planning grow 30% faster than those that don't (Strategic Management Journal study) 
  • 65% of businesses fail during their first 10 years, with poor financial planning cited as one of the top three reasons (Bureau of Labor Statistics) 
  • 68% of companies struggle to execute their strategic plans due to poor resource allocation 

The cost of poor planning? According to a Harvard Business Review study, companies lose an average of 37% of their strategic potential due to poor resource allocation and financial planning gaps. 

Want to know what set the winners apart? Companies in the top quartile of financial planning effectiveness: 

  • Generate 2.5x more shareholder value 
  • Are 70% more likely to catch market opportunities early 
  • Experience 50% less revenue volatility

Read more: The Role of Financial Planning in Recession-Proofing Your Business

So, what should you do?

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Counting What Counts 

Metrics are your business’ vital signs. Having and tracking a comprehensive set of metrics is crucial in making sure resources are allocated effectively and that the company is positioned for long-term growth. 

  • Financial metrics: Revenue growth, profit margin, return on investment (ROI), and debt-to-equity ratio. 
  • Operational metrics: Customer satisfaction, employee turnover, and operational efficiency. 
  • Strategic metrics: Market share, brand reputation, and innovation. 

By tracking these metrics, businesses can monitor progress towards their goals and make timely adjustments to their financial plans.

Download "From Manual to Agile: The State of Financial Planning & Budgeting  During Economic Downturn" Today

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Planning for Plot Twists 

Scenario planning is a powerful tool that enables businesses to anticipate potential future scenarios and develop appropriate response strategies. Think about: 

  • What if a recession hits? (It will, eventually) 
  • What if your industry gets disrupted by new tech? 
  • What if regulations change overnight? 
  • What if your biggest competitor drops their prices by 50%?

Read more: What is Stopping Your Organisation from Adopting Continuous Close?

And don't just think about what could go wrong. Plan for what could go right, too. Could you handle sudden success? It can kill a business just as fast as failure. 

By considering a range of possibilities, from optimistic to pessimistic, businesses can be better prepared to weather storms and seize opportunities. 

To further enhance scenario planning, businesses can conduct sensitivity analysis to assess the impact of changes in key variables such as interest rates or exchange rates on financial projections.

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Building a Robust Model 

A well-structured financial model is the foundation of effective long-term financial planning. Your model does not need to be fancy, but it needs to be solid. 

Here are key questions that need to be asked: 

  • Where the money comes from (revenue) 
  • Where it goes (expenses) 
  • What's left over (profit) 
  • Where it's sitting (assets and liabilities) 
  • How it moves around (cash flow)

Read more: Will Smart Technologies Replace CFOs?

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Mitigating Risks 

Risk management is a critical component of long-term financial planning. You need to be able to both identify risks and know how to mitigate them.  

Risk Identification Techniques: 

  • SWOT Analysis: Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats. 
  • Risk Assessment: Evaluating the likelihood and impact of potential risks. 

Risk Mitigation Strategies: 

  • Insurance: Protecting against unforeseen events. 
  • Hedging: Reducing exposure to market fluctuations. 
  • Diversification: Spreading risk across multiple products, markets, and customers. 
  • Contingency Planning: Developing backup plans to address potential disruptions.

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Monitoring and Adapting 

To ensure the effectiveness of the financial plan, it is critical to monitor performance regularly and make necessary adjustments. By tracking key financial metrics and comparing actual results to projections, businesses can identify potential issues early and take corrective action.

Read more: Why Finance Professionals Only Have 5 Years to Reinvent Themselves & How to Do It

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Involving Key Stakeholders 

Effective long-term financial planning requires the involvement and buy-in of key stakeholders, including executives, department heads, and finance professionals. 

Sometimes, you may need to consider seeking external expertise from consultants or financial advisors to: 

  • Spot your blind spots 
  • Bring fresh ideas 
  • Handle complex challenges 
  • Tell you what you need to hear (not what you want to hear)

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Leveraging Technology 

Technology has revolutionised the way businesses manage their finances.  

Key Technology Tools: 

Read more: Nucleus Reports Infor EPM Improves Financial Productivity by 20 Per Cent

Long-term financial planning is a dynamic and ongoing process that requires careful planning, execution, and monitoring. By following the best practices outlined in this blog post, your business can develop robust financial plans that support long-term growth and sustainability. 

Remember, it is not about predicting the future perfectly - it's about being ready for whatever the future throws at you.

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From Manual to Agile: The State of Financial Planning and Budgeting During Economic Downturn

Topics: Financial consolidation, planning and reporting

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Rick Yvanovich

 Rick Yvanovich
 /Founder & CEO/

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